Guinea is preparing to hold a constitutional referendum that could allow junta leader Mamady Doumbouya to run for president, a move that has sparked both domestic debate and international scrutiny. The proposed changes, confirmed by the transitional government this week, would replace the current charter suspended after the 2021 coup.
The draft constitution would pave the way for Doumbouya, who toppled former president Alpha Condé, to contest future elections despite earlier promises not to seek office. Reports from Reuters highlighted that the referendum is scheduled for later this year, though an exact date has not been formally announced.
Supporters argue that the new framework will restore political stability and open the door for civilian governance. However, opposition groups and civil society leaders, quoted by Jeune Afrique, say the move risks entrenching military rule under the guise of democratic reform.
Economic analysts told Bloomberg that political uncertainty could weigh heavily on Guinea’s mining sector, which is the world’s second-largest producer of bauxite, a key source of foreign revenue. Investors are closely watching whether the political transition will protect contracts and maintain stable export flows.
Regional bodies, including ECOWAS, have urged Guinea to return swiftly to constitutional order. The referendum is expected to serve as a litmus test for Doumbouya’s leadership and the country’s democratic future.
